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Risks of Implementing National Digital Currencies in the Context of Fundamental Rights and Freedoms
Prepared by HUMAN RIGHTS & ANALYTICAL HOUSE, INC. – a non-profit organization dedicated to defending human rights and analyzing threats to democracy. The material may be used or distributed, fully or partially, only with mandatory attribution to the author and copyright holder: HUMAN RIGHTS & ANALYTICAL HOUSE, INC., including an active link to the organization's official website: https://hrhouse.usIntroductionCentral Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) – national digital forms of money issued by central banks – are rapidly moving from concept to reality across the globe. Over 130 countries (representing 98% of the world economy) have explored or piloted CBDCs (
Trump's digital dollar ban gives China and Europe's CBDCs free rein | Reuters). Proponents argue that CBDCs can modernize payments, enhance financial inclusion, and improve monetary policy. However, as HUMAN RIGHTS & ANALYTICAL HOUSE, INC. research shows, the introduction of CBDCs poses serious risks to fundamental human rights and freedoms, societal development, national sovereignty, and the very foundations of democracy. This study provides an academic analysis of these risks on a global scale, with particular attention to developments in the United States and Russia (as well as the broader CIS), in Asia (especially China), and other regions. We examine how CBDCs, if misused, could enable unprecedented surveillance and control over citizens, potentially leading to “digital slavery” and erosion of state sovereignty – a narrative not of conspiracy, but of legitimate concern grounded in emerging evidence. We also compare measures taken by different governments, notably the United States (including actions by the administration of President Donald Trump), versus more authoritarian regimes, to mitigate or exploit these digital threats.
By critically analyzing reliable sources and case studies, this report highlights that the danger of CBDCs lies not only in their capacity for total financial control, but in the likelihood of their use to suppress fundamental rights and freedoms – a path that could usher in digital authoritarianism and undermine the future of democracy and human dignity. All analysis is presented in an academic, fact-driven manner, avoiding unfounded conspiracy theory and focusing on documented trends and expert assessments.
Erosion of Privacy and Surveillance Potential One of the most immediate human rights concerns with CBDCs is the potential loss of financial privacy. Unlike cash, which can be spent anonymously, a CBDC transaction creates a digital record in a centralized ledger. Each digital “banknote” can be assigned a unique identifier and tracked. For the first time, a currency could enable governments to follow every transaction by every citizen in real time (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti) (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). In the case of Russia’s proposed digital ruble, for example, economists noted that
“each ruble will be marked...the state will be able to trace the movement of every digital ‘banknote’ and know when and for what it was spent” (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). What might initially sound like a boost to transparency and crime prevention can quickly morph into an architecture of total surveillance. As one Russian commentator warned, systems of
“total control” are being built such that authorities could consolidate
“all data about our private life: who we are, what we breathe, how we live, where we are, what we do and how we spend money”, easily constructing
“social digital ratings” that eliminate any personal secrecy (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). In such a scenario, the traditional notions of banking secrecy, financial privacy, and anonymity in one’s personal affairs would effectively vanish.
This is not just a theoretical fear. International central banking authorities openly acknowledge the unprecedented control CBDCs could give to governments. Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), stated that
“the key difference with the CBDC is the central bank will have absolute control on the rules and regulations that will determine the use of that currency, and also we will have the technology to enforce that” (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute) (emphasis added). Such frank admissions from top officials underscore that a CBDC, by design, creates a
“digital tether” between citizens and the state (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute). Every transaction could be subject to monitoring and regulation in a way cash or decentralized cryptocurrencies are not. The “soul of money,” as Carstens put it, ceases to belong to the people; it becomes an instrument of state power (
Digital currencies and the soul of money) (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute).
The human rights implications of ubiquitous financial surveillance are profound. Privacy is a fundamental right linked to autonomy and dignity; if the government (or even a private actor, via data breaches) can see all one’s purchases, transfers, and savings, it gains insight into virtually every aspect of an individual’s life – their habits, associations, and even beliefs. For instance, contributions to certain charitable or political causes, purchase of literature or medicine, travel patterns – all can be inferred from one’s spending history. In authoritarian contexts, such information can and has been used to persecute dissidents or minority groups. Even in democracies, the threat of abuse looms. Data of this sensitivity being centrally stored also attracts hackers and leaks. Cybersecurity experts warn that no system is 100% secure; a CBDC ledger would be a high-value target. If breached,
“all your purchases and money transfers could become public knowledge” (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future), exposing citizens to criminal targeting or public scrutiny of perfectly legal but personal expenditures. The risk of large-scale data leaks of financial information is thus a new threat to privacy arising from CBDCs (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future).
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the world saw how emergency conditions enabled unprecedented surveillance measures. Many governments deployed digital contact-tracing apps, location tracking, and vaccine passport systems that collected and verified personal data, often with insufficient safeguards. While these were health measures, they set a precedent for normalizing digital surveillance. In China, to give a stark example, authorities manipulated COVID health apps to restrict the movement of activists, effectively weaponizing a public health tool for political control (
Human Rights at the Center of the COVID-19 Pandemic | Think Global Health).
COVID-19 responses worldwide were marked by extensive intrusions on privacy and other rights (
Human Rights at the Center of the COVID-19 Pandemic | Think Global Health). This global experience shows that, in a crisis (be it a pandemic or unrest), governments may act in concert to impose draconian digital measures. A CBDC system already enables routine tracking; in extraordinary times, it could rapidly be leveraged to identify and target individuals deemed dissidents or “security threats” based on their financial behavior. The pandemic thus offers a cautionary tale: when governments possess sweeping digital powers, even liberal democracies can and did curtail rights in a near-uniform way globally (
Human Rights at the Center of the COVID-19 Pandemic | Think Global Health). If CBDCs become ubiquitous without strict privacy protections, a future crisis could see coordinated financial surveillance on a global scale, far beyond what was possible before.
In summary, CBDCs threaten to erode the privacy of financial life, an essential component of individual freedom. The ability to make transactions without the gaze of authority is tied to freedom of expression, association, and religion (consider, for example, the privacy needed for donations to controversial causes or places of worship). By logging every transaction to an identifiable person, CBDCs could place society on a path to pervasive surveillance, fundamentally altering the citizen-state power balance. This risk is not hypothetical – it is inherent in the technology and already acknowledged by designers. The next sections will explore how this surveillance capability can translate into direct controls and restrictions, further endangering basic rights and freedoms.
Financial Control, “Programmability,” and Suppression of FreedomsBeyond surveillance, CBDCs raise alarms about active control over individuals’ economic choices. Digital currency is not just traceable – it is also
“programmable.” This means that the issuer (a central bank or government) could potentially embed rules or restrictions into the money itself. Unlike cash, which one can spend freely once in hand, a programmable digital currency might only be spendable under certain conditions. This capability opens the door to unprecedented government control over personal spending and behavior.
Experts note that CBDCs could be designed to limit or prescribe the types of goods and services one is allowed to purchase (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). For example, if authorities wanted to curb alcohol consumption or import of foreign products, they could program the digital currency to
decline any transactions at liquor stores or foreign retailers (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). During economic or political crises, such fine-grained control could extend to essential goods: a government might ration food or fuel by dictating that each citizen’s CBDC wallet can only buy a limited amount of groceries or gas per week. Indeed, analysts have likened this to a digital form of “food stamps” or ration cards enforced by code (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). While proponents may argue this could ensure fair distribution in emergencies, it just as well could be used oppressively – for instance, restricting dissidents from purchasing certain items or requiring “loyalty” behaviors to unlock full access to one’s funds.
A further dystopian scenario is the integration of CBDC control with a social credit system. In a socially “rated” society, citizens deemed by the government to be “good” or compliant could be given more financial freedom, whereas those labeled “bad” or disobedient could face spending limits or even loss of access to funds (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). This idea is not far-fetched –
“if you deepen into the anti-utopia,” wrote one Russian observer,
“one can imagine more serious restrictions based on so-called ‘social ratings’: ‘good’ people can spend their money on anything, and ‘bad’ people are limited in that” (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). China’s existing social credit system, which punishes citizens for various offenses (from criticizing the government to minor infractions), already demonstrates the inclination to link behavior with access to services. It is easy to see how, in such a system, money itself could become a lever of compliance: an individual with a low social score might find their digital money only usable for basic necessities, or not usable at all outside their home region, for example.
Freedom of speech, of assembly, and of political participation could be indirectly crushed by financial means – you are free to protest or dissent, but you might wake up the next day to find your digital wallet frozen or your funds devalued as punishment.
Crucially, the technology to do this exists. The BIS and central bankers have discussed “programmable” CBDCs openly, noting that specific policies (like negative interest rates or spending limits) could be implemented through code (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute) (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute). In early experiments, China reportedly tested expiring digital currency during stimulus programs – the digital yuan vouchers given to citizens had to be spent by a deadline or they vanished (
The Central Bank Must Be Changed: The Digital Ruble Will Strangle Russia) (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). The rationale was to spur consumption, but it showcased a powerful tool: money that “self-destructs” if not spent. A senior Russian banking expert similarly cautioned that a CBDC could be coded to
“burn” money that is not used quickly enough, effectively preventing people from saving –
“a harsh scenario,” he notes,
“but technically possible to include in the code” (
The Digital Ruble: A Step Towards a Digital Concentration Camp? Reflections on the Future). Such features amount to engineering citizens’ financial behavior:
use it or lose it. Forced spending, inability to save, and negative interest (a tax on holding money) all become feasible. These not only violate property rights (the right to use one’s money freely) but also personal autonomy – the state dictates how and when you must consume.
Another form of control is the instantaneous freezing or seizing of assets. Governments already freeze bank accounts to enforce court judgments or sanctions, but this usually involves legal process and intermediaries. With CBDC, a government could directly and immediately lock an individual’s funds at the central source. The person is effectively “unbanked” at the flip of a switch. Financial regulators acknowledge that
“freezing someone’s financial resources is one of the most effective ways to lock them out of society”, and a CBDC system could make this tool
“easier and faster” by eliminating any intermediary (
The Risks of CBDCs | Cato Institute). This raises the specter of extra-judicial punishment: authorities might be tempted to shut off access to funds without due process as a way to quell protests or dissent. Recent history provides a telling example: in 2022, during the “Freedom Convoy” protests in Canada, the government invoked emergency powers to freeze 210 bank accounts holding approximately $7.8 million associated with protestors, without prior court orders (
Canada Begins To Release Frozen Bank Accounts Of 'Freedom ...). This action, in a liberal democracy, was a dramatic use of financial levers to suppress civil disobedience. If a CBDC had been in place, such asset freezes could have been executed even more broadly and instantaneously, at the central bank level, possibly even automatically flagging and cutting off those who spent money in certain locations or patterns. The Canadian case was later criticized as an overreach and found to be unjustified by oversight bodies (
Trudeau government “not justified” in freezing protesters' bank ...) (
Trudeau's Use of Emergency Powers to Crush Protests Was Illegal), but it illustrates how financial control can be weaponized against political opponents or protesters. In a CBDC regime, the barriers to doing so would be lower, and the scale could be nationwide with a single command.
From a human rights standpoint, tools like these strike at the core of individual liberty. The ability to transact – to receive wages, buy food, pay rent – is a precondition for the enjoyment of most other rights. A person whose money is controlled by an external authority is not truly free. As Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis argued in opposition to CBDCs,
“the government and large companies should not have the power to shut off access to your hard-earned money because they disagree with your politics” (
Governor Ron DeSantis Signs First-in-the-Nation Legislation to Protect Against Government Surveillance of Personal Finances | Executive Office of the Governor). He warned that a centrally issued digital dollar could be
“weaponized” to advance a political agenda, representing
“a massive transfer of power from individual consumers to a central authority” (
Florida's DeSantis Waging Toothless Campaign Against Digital ...) (
Governor Ron DeSantis Signs First-in-the-Nation Legislation to Protect Against Government Surveillance of Personal Finances | Executive Office of the Governor). These concerns are not partisan talking points but real risks acknowledged across the political spectrum. Even proponents of CBDCs in democratic countries concede that safeguards must be built to prevent surveillance and control – yet no existing CBDC design has fully resolved these issues. For instance, the European Central Bank, in contemplating a digital euro, has faced public pressure to ensure it does not become a spying tool; early proposals include some privacy for low-value transactions, but full anonymity is explicitly ruled out to allow oversight of large payments (ostensibly to prevent crime) (
Trump's digital dollar ban gives China and Europe's CBDCs free rein | Reuters). The line between oversight and control can blur quickly.
In authoritarian regimes, there is little doubt that CBDCs will be used to entrench control. China’s digital yuan (e-CNY) is explicitly intended to “maintain control” over currency in the face of crypto and cash alternatives (
What Threat Does the Digital Ruble Pose? Risks to Freedom, Privacy, and Human Rights in Russia), and Chinese officials have lauded the ability to track and regulate all spending. By the end of 2021, over 261 million Chinese users had activated digital wallets for the e-CNY (
China's digital yuan wallet now has 260 million individual users), and millions of merchants accept it. This rapid adoption is driven in part by government mandates and incentives, but the
flip side is that it gives the Chinese state an even tighter grip on financial flows. The e-CNY is linked to citizens’ real identities (accounts are opened with ID verification), and it fits neatly into China’s expanding surveillance apparatus, from facial recognition cameras to big-data analytics. It is conceivable that China could link one’s social credit score to their digital wallet privileges – indeed, the architecture would allow “blacklisting” individuals so that their money ceases to function normally. A senior Communist Party official has suggested the digital yuan is a chance to
“ensure party leadership in financial system control”, highlighting its value in strengthening authoritarian governance (
The Digitization Of Central Bank Currencies - Southpac Group). For China’s Uighur minority in Xinjiang, who are already subjected to intensive surveillance and movement controls, a fully traceable currency could further restrict their economic life and coerce behavior (for example, instantly penalizing any spending on culturally significant items or transfers to family abroad).
Thus, the “programmability” of CBDCs represents a direct threat to fundamental freedoms. It can enable governments to dictate how citizens spend their own money, thereby infringing on personal autonomy, dignity, and the right to a private life. It can facilitate discrimination – whether political, religious, or ethnic – by allowing authorities to target specific groups for financial restriction. It can also serve as a form of censorship and coercion, deterring individuals from activities that, while legal, are disfavored by those in power (who would risk buying a controversial book or funding an opposition campaign if they know the digital dollars in their pocket might be disabled as a result?). In extreme form, as critics have starkly described, this amounts to digital tyranny: a state of
“digital slavery” where individuals are
allowed to use their money only by the grace of the central authority (
What Threat Does the Digital Ruble Pose? Risks to Freedom, Privacy, and Human Rights in Russia). In Russia, some experts and lawmakers are already calling the digital ruble project a step toward a
“digital concentration camp” – a loaded term invoking the totalitarian control of citizens’ lives (
The Central Bank Must Be Changed: The Digital Ruble Will Strangle Russia) (
The Central Bank Must Be Changed: The Digital Ruble Will Strangle Russia). While such language is polemical, it underscores the depth of fear that CBDCs could be used to extinguish personal freedoms. The next sections will delve into the broader societal and political ramifications of this shift, including impacts on social well-being, economic rights, national sovereignty, and democratic governance.
Impact on Society and Human DevelopmentThe introduction of a national digital currency could significantly reshape societal structure and affect human development – both positively and negatively. This section focuses on the potential negative impacts: how CBDCs, if implemented without regard for rights, might hinder societal progress and individual well-being. Key concerns include the undermining of economic freedoms that foster development, disruption of social safety nets and informal economies, exacerbation of inequalities (the
digital divide), and chilling effects on innovation and human potential.
Economic freedom is a pillar of societal development. The ability of individuals to start businesses, transact freely, save and invest is closely tied to creativity, entrepreneurship, and overall prosperity. If CBDCs enable tighter state control over economic activity, there is a risk of stifling the dynamism of society. For instance, an entrepreneur might hesitate to pursue an innovative but politically sensitive venture if every transaction (paying suppliers, receiving customer payments) is under surveillance or could be selectively blocked. Over-regulation through a CBDC could reinforce a climate of fear and caution that hampers intellectual freedom and risk-taking, qualities essential for human development and a vibrant civil society. Indeed, Russia’s economy has long struggled with overregulation and heavy-handed bureaucracy; observers worry that the digital ruble would introduce
“excessive regulation and draconian restrictions”, a “super-control” that could smother initiative and economic activity (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti) (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). If people feel that “Big Brother” is monitoring their every financial move, they may stick only to state-sanctioned activities and refrain from creative or oppositional endeavors. This chilling effect can diminish the rich pluralism of society – economically, culturally, and politically.
Another critical consideration is the role of the informal (gray) economy in many societies. While often technically outside the law (e.g. unreported cash jobs, small informal trading), the gray economy in countries like Russia serves as a vital survival mechanism for millions of people, especially during hard times (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti) (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). Studies estimate that up to 25–35% of Russia’s GDP comes from the informal sector, and as many as 15–20 million Russians rely on unreported income for basic survival (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti). This was starkly illustrated in the 2020 COVID crisis: as formal businesses shut down, Russians increasingly turned to cash transactions and informal work to make ends meet – cash in circulation jumped 22% that year, far outpacing growth in bank liquidity (
Four Main Dangers of the Digital Ruble – Vedomosti) (
What Threat Does the Digital Ruble Pose? Risks to Freedom, Privacy, and Human Rights in Russia). Similar patterns occur in many developing countries during recessions or crises: people fall back on cash and community networks when formal systems fail.